US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Recently completed a study of past US Elections based in part on an article I read on Lee Lehman's site. I looked at candidate radix and profected charts and, based solely on that study, have to reluctantly say it looks as if Trump will win. There might be a small chance that the GOP will not carry Congress and/or the Senate and so weaken his overall control of government but that could easily be wishful thinking on my part.

Essentially I found that:
  • Hard aspects from the planets managing the times, especially those involving P10 and N10, appear to win out over soft aspects with the possible exception of a partile trine involving a planet in or ruling the 10th in either time
  • A burnt Mercury as one of the planets managing the times appears to ensure a loss
  • The South Node in N10 appears to weaken chances (see Wilkie, McGovern); in P10 it gives mixed indications: Reagan, Obama, and Biden all had it in P10 and won while George H.W. Bush had it in P10 with the ruler of P1 and lost and Dole had it in P10 with Uranus and lost but he also had a burnt Mercury ruling P1 trine P10
Here are the charts (N=natal, P=profected):
Biden-2024.png Biden-2024.png Viewed 5955 times 113.74 KiB
Biden has no hard aspects and a burnt Mercury.

Trump-2024.png Trump-2024.png Viewed 5955 times 152.34 KiB
The Moon/SouthNode conjunction in the 10th ruling P6 (employees, servants) and N11 (allies, Congress) is the reason I think the GOP overall may not do well (but, as I said, likely wishful thinking). It can weaken the 10th but I don't think it's enough on its own to call a loss; especially as the Moon is not sharing in the times. And, of course, it assumes Biden will be the Democratic candidate on November 5th; near middle to late May this year his directed lot of Illness will be activated which might alter his circumstances. Time will tell.
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Thanks for sharing your findings, Jane. Interesting. As I'm sure you're aware, a few well-respected mundane astrologers have come to a similar conclusion: it looks like Trump is in a better position to win.

I've been eyeing August as an important month for the country in this election year. I haven't taken the time to nail down my thoughts on it; I'm not even sure I want to (lol), but it's early still.
thoughts are just thoughts

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Thank you for sharing Jane,

It always felt strange to me that U.S Presidents were sworn into office when the Sun enters Aquarius (Detriment).
At the same time, it seems to describe well the constant fighting the Presidents are having with the opposition. You have an elected President chosen by the people who comes up with a legislation that has to go through the House of Representatives and the Senate. And if any of these 2 chambers is controlled by the opposition, they can block the legislation. Which renders the whole election fruitless. This system does not make sense.

Will have a closer look at the Profections in the coming days.
Ouranos
Blessings!

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Jason wrote: Thu Mar 21, 2024 8:40 am Thanks for sharing your findings, Jane. Interesting. As I'm sure you're aware, a few well-respected mundane astrologers have come to a similar conclusion: it looks like Trump is in a better position to win.

I've been eyeing August as an important month for the country in this election year. I haven't taken the time to nail down my thoughts on it; I'm not even sure I want to (lol), but it's early still.
Hi Jason ... yes, I've seen the other predictions; one reason I took a look on my own, to see what could be seen ... lol.

Funny you should mention August; I have been looking at the directions for Biden and Trump, Biden's are fairly quiet with the lot of Illness changing degree, as I mentioned and, in August his MC, moves out of the critical degree of 29 GE to 28 GE which would indicate a change in his position which, I think, may be due to the earlier illness (if he does become ill). Since the Democratic National Convention is on Aug 19-22 could be he steps down.

Trump's chart is crazy active every month so its really hard to make sense of although, oddly, July (when the GOP convention happens) looks strangely quiet (compared to other months) so possibly a walk over for him; and August gets very active again with the Asc, 3rd, Jupiter, N. Node, Success and Kingship all changing degrees. The lot of Success goes from 1 CP to 0 CP ... so turns critical.

In all, I agree with you, it looks to be an interesting month :)
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Hi Ouranos,
Ouranos wrote: Thu Mar 21, 2024 11:09 am It always felt strange to me that U.S Presidents were sworn into office when the Sun enters Aquarius (Detriment).
At the same time, it seems to describe well the constant fighting the Presidents are having with the opposition. You have an elected President chosen by the people who comes up with a legislation that has to go through the House of Representatives and the Senate. And if any of these 2 chambers is controlled by the opposition, they can block the legislation. Which renders the whole election fruitless. This system does not make sense.
Yes, and add in the Electoral College and it gets even more confusing. I'm in the middle of reading Gore Vidal's Inventing a Nation and given the factions that existed at the time all vying to make sure no one body: Executive, Senate, Congress, Court, State, or Federal received more powers than the other (ironically they left out the military because at the time they didn't really have one) its quite amazing the whole system has worked as long as it has.
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Jane,

Without looking too closely at the Profections of the 2 potential candidates, I would have a different approach. The AS moving by Right Ascension in the local sphere and converted on the Ecliptic like you would do for Primary Directions.

In Donald Trump's chart, the AS reached the 2nd House at 23 Virgo at the age of 1 year old (2 hours of RA), at 2 years old, the AS reached the 3rd House at 21 Libra and so on. In June 2024, his Profected AS will be at 29 Aquarius 57 on his birthday. By Profection, he has been under the rulership of Saturn (Aquarius and Capricorn) for the past 2 years now.

Currently, transiting Mars is over his Profected ASC in Aquarius (Saturn ruled) and bound of Mars.
He needs to arrange a $454 million bond to comply with a New York court ruling. He approached 30 companies but that getting a bond was a practical impossibility, because he would need a billion dollars in cash, which he says he doesn't have. Let's call it a 'fire sale' with Mars. In New York, if you want to appeal and stop the enforcement of the judgment, you have to put up the full amount. Sell or declare bankruptcy is what he is facing right now.
Shortly after his birthday, he will move into Pisces (Jupiter/Neptune) in a bound of Venus (0 to 8 Pisces). With Saturn transiting in Pisces right now. Venus ruling his 10th House conjunct natal Saturn.

Looking back at similar Profected years prior to 2024

66 years - 2012 Speculated to run against Obama at the Conservative Political Action Conference.
54 years - 2000 He ran in the California and primaries under the banner of the Reform Party.
42 years - 1988 Acquired the Plaza Hotel with a loan from a consortium of 16 banks. And he bought the Trump Taj Mahal in junk bonds. Also created his Trump Foundation.


And the transiting Jupiter/Uranus conjunction will reach his natal 10th/profected 4th. It sounds like he will spend a lot of time re-organizing his real estate foundations than managing a country. The 4th House being the end and beginning of something new. His media company, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), will merge with a publicly traded vehicle, after a favorable vote at a general meeting today, a development which should unlock a windfall of several billion dollars for the former American president. Is it the influence of the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction in the shadow?
Another way to look at it, you are creating a nest, gathering your eggs from your social activity.

Just a quick approach here, very speculative and out-of-bound (!!!)

Be well,
Ouranos
Blessings!

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Hi Jason ...

Thanks very much for the overview, I'm not used to looking at all these charts at once, find it all a bit overwhelming. Need a lot more practice at reading them!
Last edited by janegca on Fri Mar 22, 2024 9:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Ouranos wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 3:00 pm Jane,

Without looking too closely at the Profections of the 2 potential candidates, I would have a different approach. The AS moving by Right Ascension in the local sphere and converted on the Ecliptic like you would do for Primary Directions.

In Donald Trump's chart, the AS reached the 2nd House at 23 Virgo at the age of 1 year old (2 hours of RA), at 2 years old, the AS reached the 3rd House at 21 Libra and so on. In June 2024, his Profected AS will be at 29 Aquarius 57 on his birthday. By Profection, he has been under the rulership of Saturn (Aquarius and Capricorn) for the past 2 years now.

Currently, transiting Mars is over his Profected ASC in Aquarius (Saturn ruled) and bound of Mars.
He needs to arrange a $454 million bond to comply with a New York court ruling. He approached 30 companies but that getting a bond was a practical impossibility, because he would need a billion dollars in cash, which he says he doesn't have. Let's call it a 'fire sale' with Mars. In New York, if you want to appeal and stop the enforcement of the judgment, you have to put up the full amount. Sell or declare bankruptcy is what he is facing right now.
Shortly after his birthday, he will move into Pisces (Jupiter/Neptune) in a bound of Venus (0 to 8 Pisces). With Saturn transiting in Pisces right now. Venus ruling his 10th House conjunct natal Saturn.

Looking back at similar Profected years prior to 2024

66 years - 2012 Speculated to run against Obama at the Conservative Political Action Conference.
54 years - 2000 He ran in the California and primaries under the banner of the Reform Party.
42 years - 1988 Acquired the Plaza Hotel with a loan from a consortium of 16 banks. And he bought the Trump Taj Mahal in junk bonds. Also created his Trump Foundation.


And the transiting Jupiter/Uranus conjunction will reach his natal 10th/profected 4th. It sounds like he will spend a lot of time re-organizing his real estate foundations than managing a country. The 4th House being the end and beginning of something new. His media company, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG), will merge with a publicly traded vehicle, after a favorable vote at a general meeting today, a development which should unlock a windfall of several billion dollars for the former American president. Is it the influence of the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction in the shadow?
Another way to look at it, you are creating a nest, gathering your eggs from your social activity.

Just a quick approach here, very speculative and out-of-bound (!!!)

Be well,
Ouranos
Thanks Ouranos, what you've said makes a lot of sense in light of what he's dealing with at the moment.
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Not sure if I should start a new post or continue here. My own musings on why I think Trump will win the elections -- and at the same time wonder ifhe might be prevented from actually becoming president;

Why I think he will win:
- His lunar return for July has Jupiter in the first house, trine Pluto
- HIs November lunar return has sun conjunct MC trine Jupiter
- Early November, transiting Jupiter will conjunct his NN and Sun in his tenth house, Venus will be conjunct his south node.
Is it possible to have more favorable aspects than this?

I don't see anything particular in Biden's horoscope, it's hard to imagine he would win.

Why i think he might be prevented from actually becoming president:
On inauguration day, Trump's progressed Moon squares his progressed Pluto, that looks problematic. And then something else that puzzles me: his lunar return for inauguration day has the Sun conjunct return Ascendant-- which would be a good omen, if it weren't that Sun rules the LR 8th house. And Pluto is in 1 opposite Mars. Those three factors make me almost wonder if he will be killed, or at least prevented from actually becoming president. Edit: also , i overlooked this, another indication of a blockage: tr Saturn will square Trump's Uranus in 10, lord of 6, late January 2025 (and also in May and August 2024).

Anyway, if he does become president, it won't be smooth sailing. And, further along the road, in March 2025, transiting Saturn will make a tsquare with his Sun and Moon, so trouble is up.

Any thoughts?
Last edited by annadeer on Mon Apr 22, 2024 11:33 am, edited 1 time in total.

Re: US Election Study and Biden vs Trump 2024

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Hi Anna, agree with you that there does not seem to be much of anything in Biden’s chart. Trump’s chart, on the other hand, is so busy it’s hard to sort things out. It looks like he will win, against Biden at least, but I think if he has to run against a woman he may be in trouble or women voters or women in general might spoil a win. Hard to say. Certainly doesn’t look like an easy time for anyone.
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"I can calculate the motions of celestial bodies, but not the madness of people.” —- Sir Isaac Newton
https://archive.org/details/@janegca