Hurricane Irene moves in on the US

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Hurricane Irene moves in on the US

Hurricane Irene moves in on the US East coast, threatening the metropol of New York, as the Moon applies to stationary Mercury in 19 Leo. I am sure we will receive reports from our US members. Over 800 flights from New York have been postponed.

Some of you might note that the 19 degrees of Aries and Leo are degrees I have suggested to be monitoring in conection with significant seismic activity, the earthquakes in Chile, Feb 27. 2010, and the earthquake of China April 14. 2010 as example. In the chart for the 8,8 Richther earthquake hitting Japan on March 11. 2011, 18 Leo was on the ascendant. But with Mercury stationary we now have an atmospheric condition and it is the winds that are taking the headlines.

We have had quite a few discussions on seismic activity here at the mundane section at Skyscript. Here are two links for starters: 8,8R hits Japan, Earthquakes - General reports
http://www.astronor.com

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Instead of the storm of the century, Irene may well be the bust of the century. She is hitting the Carolinas pretty hard though.

I live in New Jersey about 35 miles from New York City. As of this writing, 1:40 PM EDT, it's overcast and humid. But I found a claim that is claiming The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), is exaggerating the fierceness of the storm. NOAA is reporting 85 MPH winds but the Weather Underground (The BEST source for weather information) is not reporting anything much higher than 35 mph. That is barely a tropical storm.

Still a lot of water can cause a lot of damage. I would prefer the damn thing head out to sea, but it is what it is. We have all the necessary provisions at the Callanan household: wine, beer and bourbon in sufficient supply to hold us until Monday or later (My wife would kill me for saying that).


http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011 ... mph-winds/

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Although not a hurricane since the don't occur in this area, today in the Netherlands we too are getting our portion of rain and wind. With the centre of the depression in the middle of the North-Sea, I bet the UK East coast and Norway are enjoying the same weather over there. I rather resembles an autumn storm than usual Summer rain.

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This story had me wondering just how rare it is for a hurrricane to hit NYC.

There were apparently two such recorded incidents in the 19th century (1821 and 1893) and the only incident in the 20th century was in 1938 which was the last recorded:

http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/html/hazard ... story.shtm

Mark
Last edited by Mark on Sun Aug 28, 2011 1:33 pm, edited 2 times in total.
As thou conversest with the heavens, so instruct and inform thy minde according to the image of Divinity William Lilly

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As storms go this one was a bit of a bust, but it is getting dark again. I rained hard all night, but the wind didn't do any serious damage, some small tree limbs came down. Now I have all that liquor and no excuse to drink it. I"ll think of something.

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the only incident in the 20th century was in 1938 which was the last recorded:
Not true Mark. 1960 Hurricane Donna a Category 5 storm hit every state on the East Coast (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Donna) and in 1954 Hurricane Hazel came through. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Hazel). There are others, but not as strong.

A couple of years ago we had Hurricane Floyd, although it might have been a Tropical Storm by the time it hit here; I'm not sure. Sadly I remember all of them. Donna was a really bad one down south. The Florida Keys had 6 feet of water on the highway.

The other thing I remember about Donna is that I was in school when it hit. We knew it was coming later in the morning, so school was in and we went to class during the hurricane and went home after it was over. We were much tougher than these kids ;-) . The school building (a sturdy ancient contraption even in 1960 and it still exists today although not as a school) was probably the safest place for us. I remember sitting in candlelight at home for hurricane Hazel. I was only 6 and don't remember much else.

It is true that hurricanes don't hit this part of the country as often as they do southern states and the Gulf states. But they have been known to hit as far north as Maine and even Canada (Hazel). Mercifully not often.

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Ooops My mistake. I obviously didn't read that web link all the way down!

As the link to the NYC website info on this isn't working I have put up the text:
Early New York Hurricanes

1821 HURRICANE
Reaching the City on September 3, 1821, the storm was one of the only hurricanes believed to have passed directly over parts of modern New York City. The tide rose 13 feet in one hour and inundated wharves, causing the East River to converge into the Hudson River across lower Manhattan as far north as Canal Street. However, few deaths were attributed to the storm because flooding was concentrated in neighborhoods with far fewer homes than exist today.

1893 HURRICANE
In 1893, a category 1 hurricane destroyed Hog Island, a resort island off the Rockaways in southern Queens.


Waves striking a seawall, 1938 (NWS Historic Collection)

1938 HURRICANE
The most powerful hurricane known to have made landfall nearby ? a category 3 hurricane ? occurred in 1938. Its eye crossed over Long Island and into New England, killing nearly 200 people. The storm killed 10 people in New York City and caused millions of dollars in damage. Its floods knocked out electrical power in all areas above 59th Street in Manhattan and in all of the Bronx, the new IND subway line lost power, and 100 large trees in Central Park were destroyed.

Fortunately, New York City experienced the weaker "left side" of the 1938 hurricane ? the City was 75 miles from the eye when it passed over Long Island. The hurricane could have caused far more deaths and damage if it passed closer to the five boroughs.

An excellent history of the 1938 hurricane is provided at Scott Mandia's website:
The Long Island Express: The Great Hurricane of 1938.

Mid-Twentieth Century
CAROL
In 1954, Hurricane Carol made landfall in Eastern Long Island and Southeastern Connecticut. With sustained winds over 100 mph and gusts of 115 to 125 mph, it was the most destructive hurricane to hit the Northeast coast since the Long Island Express in 1938. Fortunately for City residents, the storm's track was forty miles further east, and spared it a direct hit, but did result in major flooding throughout the City.

DONNA
In 1960, Hurricane Donna created an 11-foot storm tide in the New York Harbor that caused extensive pier damage.


Major Hurricane Tracks, 1951-1960 (Historic NWS Collection)

CONNIE & DIANE
Leftover rains from hurricanes Diane and Connie caused significant flooding in the City in August 1955, even though the eye of those storms did not cross directly over any of the five boroughs. Diane caused more than 200 deaths in Pennsylvania, New York and New Jersey. Connie dropped more than 12 inches of rain at LaGuardia Airport.

AGNES
In June 1972, Tropical Storm Agnes fused with another storm system in the northeastern U.S., flooding areas from North Carolina to New York State, causing 122 deaths and more than $6 billion dollars in damage (when adjusted for inflation).

GLORIA
The US Army Corps of Engineers has said that 1985's Hurricane Gloria could have been catastrophic if it arrived at high tide and just a little closer to the City.

Recent Hurricanes
Many hurricane experts say the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico have begun to spin off more frequent and destructive hurricanes than in previous decades. Tropical storms have been on the rise since 1995, and a record 15 hurricanes made their way into the North Atlantic in 2005.


NOAA GOES Satellite Photo of Hurricane Floyd, September 16, 1999

FELIX
Hurricane Felix lingered off the East Coast for nearly a week in 1995, menacing the northeastern US before it finally drifted out to sea.

BERTHA
A weakening Tropical Storm Bertha brought heavy rain to the City in July 1996.

EDOUARD
Hurricane Edouard veered out to sea after tracking toward New York City around Labor Day 1996.

FLOYD
In September 1999, Tropical Storm Floyd brought sustained 60 mph winds and dumped 10-15 inches of rain on upstate New Jersey and New York State over a 24-hour period.

Flash flooding from this tropical storm ? one of the most powerful to affect New York City in a decade ? forced hundreds of people to leave their homes in counties just outside the five boroughs. Floyd caused New York City's schools to close for the first time since 1996 and led the city to open emergency storm shelters as a precautionary measure.
Last edited by Mark on Sun Aug 28, 2011 2:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
As thou conversest with the heavens, so instruct and inform thy minde according to the image of Divinity William Lilly

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Anyone interested in devastating hurricanes might look at this one:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1926_Miami_hurricane

They didn't name them in those days. Damages were estimated at $100 million in 1926 dollars. Today that works out to be about $157 billion. Not quite double what Katrina cost.

Keep in mind though that weather forecasting was not at the same level as it is today and little or no time was allowed for preparation or escape.

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Your list omits Hazel, which is surprising. Hurricane Carol is mentioned but I don't recall that one at all and I checked: they are two different storms both hit the US East Coast in 1954. Bad year for hurricanes.

Maybe I remember sitting in the dark during Carol and the name Hurricane Hazel is just easier to remember. Who knows?

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Tom wrote:
Your list omits Hazel, which is surprising. Hurricane Carol is mentioned but I don't recall that one at all and I checked: they are two different storms both hit the US East Coast in 1954. Bad year for hurricanes.
As British observer what I know about hurricanes you could fit on the back of a postage stamp. Up to this recent story I had never realised hurricanes came this far north up the American seaboard.

Its a New York Municipal authority website so I can only assume some public official has goofed in omitting Hurricane Hazel.

Here is a wikipedia link that mentions Hazel and Carol in 1954:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ne ... hurricanes

Here is a map that shows the different paths of some of these old hurricanes that might shed some light:
Image
Hazel was more significant overall and hit many northern states. However, Hurricanne Carol was apparently especially devastating in New England.

Incidentally, here is an awesome picture of the 1938 Hurricane hitting a seawall somewhere along the coast. Not sure if its New York:
Image
The weather pattens are obviously very different in Europe and we fortunately dont have to worry about a hurricane season. The nearest we had to anything like this in the United Kingdom was the great storm of 1987. The worst storm to hit England for nearly 300 years:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Storm_of_1987

This was declared a unique event and only something to happen every few centuries. However, the Burns day storm of 1990 made that theory more debateable:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burns%27_Day_storm
As thou conversest with the heavens, so instruct and inform thy minde according to the image of Divinity William Lilly