13 by Richard Vetter Atlantean wrote:The chances that BOTH would be right, yep, you guessed it... (0.0012% x 0.07%) = 0.0000008%. The exact calculations show that to be only ONE chance in 124,416,000. Well, let's play a sceptical scientist: You took just two cases (and one of them - subjectively - your own)... Take care, Richard http://astroinfo.astrologix.de/english.htm Quote Sat Dec 19, 2009 4:13 pm
14 by Atlantean Hello Richard, If we were talking about human perception, then "subjectivity" might come into it. However, we are talking about a computer program. Once you enter the data and hit "Enter", there is no more room for subjectivity...unless you're putting forth that the computer's opinion had something to do with the outcome. To me, it was pure math and machine-language instructions being executed. Still, the probabilities are correct... the CHANCES of it agreeing with both my slowly arrived at time over 20 years and the chances of it agreeing with Susan Boyle's birthtime, BASED SOLELY ON THE DATES OF EVENTS, makes it somewhat miraculous just based on the odds that it "beat." Actually, it's not all THAT miraculous. You could flip a coin 27 times, calling the correct landing on EVERY flip and be in the neighborhood of the same probability. Re: Two Cases I limited it to two cases so that I wouldn't have to type so many zeros to show the long odds. Take care, Atlantean Quote Sun Dec 20, 2009 2:04 pm
15 by Richard Vetter Hi Atlantean, regarding "subjectivity": As long as you figure out and use your own chart, in scientific view this procedure is considered "subjective". Yet, I confess your figures are impresssing... Tace care, Richard http://astroinfo.astrologix.de/english.htm Quote Mon Dec 21, 2009 5:42 pm