I know of at least one member who told me they didn't want to post because they hate getting things like this wrong in public.
Well, I understand them. People in general are prone to admiration, and often forget that if astrologer fail to predict or guess, that doesn't make him less of an astrologer. As Olivia said, we are all on the road of getting better and better, we all learn from the mistakes we made in predictions and guessing like in these exercises.
I think that Robert Zoller was the one who said that good astrologer is one who has at least 75% of accurate predictions. So, if we think that we would get it 100% right in the bag behind us, I think that we are setting very high standards, which is not bad, but can be overwhelming; and that overwhelming is shown in the participation of the threads like this one where we have that inner tension to guess it right.
So if I, as non authoritative astrologer have that inner tension, I can imagine how the authoritative ones feels about this things.
As I said, people are prone to admiration and to disappointments also. Because, when you have admiration toward some person, and that person fail to meet your standards every-time and in every occasion, you get disappointed. It is basic psychology.
I remember that many people were "disappointed" of the thing that several good authorities fail to predict Obama's win on the elections.
I was not disappointed, because I know that the astrologer is not a less of an astrologer when he fails a prediction. Judging astrological factors rightly requires more then an astrological skills and knowledge, even more then experience. Here comes the thing which we nowadays call "Intuition", but also right attitude and right Moment.
Was Regiomontanus less of an astrologer when he predicted that Maximilian I will have 1 son and 3 daughters and he had 2 sons and one daughter?
No. Astrologer is not a god nor someone who without failing can predict the future every time and in every occasion to the very little tiny detail. Good and experienced astrologer can be recognized by several predictions and delineations in succession and not merely on one taken in isolation.
Also, continuously we learn, read, examine.. and in that process we can find ourselves in one state of mind or another. I think that was Albert Einstain's advise to someone that, if it works, you should not change it, rather use it as you used it the first time when was successful [I can't recall the scene rightly].
I guessed 3 out of 4. If I happen to miss the following 3 then this could be alert for me that I'm doing something seriously wrong and I should stick to the procedure I applied in the beginning.
I know that with my enthusiasm for this beautiful Art, the more I learn the more I find my self experimenting with different kind of techniques, and this experimentation costs me "failing" of this sort.
I once heard a saying from a music producer who I respect a lot [who works for Lady Gaga], asked in one interview what kind of plug-ins he uses and when he replied very quickly and spontaneously, the interviewer was kind of disappointed, so this guy answered again shortly with a smile on his face:
"Less is More".
And his sound is one of the biggest and richest I have ever heard.
So, approaching these things requires a right mind set of looking at things [delineations, guessing and predictions].
Look how Regiomontanus starts the analysis of the one year old Maximilian I:
"You imposed a great burden on my shoulder Empress most illustrious! demanding from me to write a judgment of the nativity of your son from the stars.
Serious and indeed very difficult is to predict from the stars something certain about the future!
Because he who wants to do this, should have knowledge of many things"
[p.11, translated by Rumen K. Kolev]
In order not to ramble aimlessly, I want to point out that following Mark's posts and writings, one can sense that he is a person with very stable moral nature; so my prediction on this is that he didn't cheat and never did. I can bet all my money on this
