Mark, thanks so much for sending these links.
This will be more than you or anybody else probably wants to read about my responses to them, but as a snowbound retiree who has to stay off a foot today, I am apt to indulge-- so thanks for giving me an afternoon's entertainment.
Martien Hermes makes some very thoughtful points, although I don't think he and I are working off the same definition of science.
As I read Hermes's critique of scientists, really it is a critique of anyone, scientist or not, who makes an argument from logic and evidence against astrology. Hermes argues that astrology either matches these criteria, or that the criteria are applied to astrology in incorrect ways.
As I've posted repeatedly on this thread, many disciplines that do not match an Anglophone scientist's definition of science are indeed rational and based upon evidence. Examples would be history and philology. Thankfully we have another respected and venerable tradition in which to locate them: the humanities.
I just think it really muddies the waters for astrologers to insist upon the dictionary definition of science that essentially means any body of knowledge (and worse yet, that it makes astrology a science); when it is the source of so much misunderstanding. Cannot we just define science the way card-carrying scientists define it?
(The systematic study of the structure and behavior of the physical and natural world through observation and experiment; the operation of general laws, theories, and hypotheses as
obtained and tested through the scientific method.)
Hermes, indeed, is really critical of studies that apply the scientific method to astrology. I've read a number of academic studies of astrology's truth claims that used the scientific method. And while the results are dismal for astrology, I would have to say that some of the researchers had too little knowledge of astrology to conduct meaningful tests.
We also need to distinguish between
science as a practice and
scientists as individuals. As individuals, scientists may speak publically about topics outside of their area of expertise, just as your plumber may tell you how to invest in commodities futures. Then there is
scientism, the belief that the scientific method will ultimately answer all our questions and that science constitutes the only correct world view, over and above any other type of perspective.
To draw a finer point on it, Richard Dawkins is a really good evolutionary geneticist . As an individual
scientist, he often speaks and writes about both his area of expertise, and other areas, as well. He appears to subscribe to
scientism in his criticism of religion (and astrology,) but not all scientists do.
A post-modernist might agree with Hermes that:
it?s the individual who ultimately makes a choice in what he or she considers to be logical, ?rational? or decisive which, in the case of first-order evidence, depends on direct personal experience (which is horoscopy for astrologers, statistics for scientists); and in case of second-order evidence (i.e. does the astrologer believe the conclusions and reasoning of the scientist, or vice versa?) this always depends on the authority one grants to the person or method and/or its status (?science?; ?statistics?; ?astrology?; ?horoscopy?).
Everett's "Subjective rationality" (by whatever name, and there are several,) is a worthwhile theory, but it only goes so far.
Why? Because most of us spend only a portion of our time in our own little worlds, where, Humpty Dumpty-like, we get to define words and realities. (In this case, logic, rationality, statistics.) If Hermes were correct, just try out his thesis on the traffic cop the next time you get a speeding ticket. Or tell your supervisor at work that you will ignore her assignments because you've stopped granting her "authority."
Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't get the impression that Hermes has a strong grounding in science, let alone in the statistics he criticizes. Statistics are basically a way (to the initiated) of seeing trends and probabilities in large data sets. An improperly constructed study may yield false positives or false negatives, so the issue isn't the data-in-statistics-out so much as it is how a study was conceptualized and data gathered (i. e., methodology) in the first place.
When I read astrologers' generic criticisms of scientists, I wonder whether they actually know any research scientists and have talked with them about their work. It would be well worth astrologers' while to phone up a professor in the nearest chemistry or astronomy department, and buy her coffee or lunch in exchange for a tour of her lab/observatory experiments, and her description in lay person's terms, for what it is that the scientist does.
Having bashed scientists, Hermes moves on to bash modern astrologers, which I find really, really unhelpful. Both modern and traditional astrology contain examples of both good and bad work. Indeed, my favourite modern astrology books are probably the early textbooks by Robert Hand. Despite some minor nods to modern psychological astrology, his books have very little psychological material in them.
So far as my OP goes, I think the links between astrology and the humanities are stronger than the links between astrology and psychology (aka behavioural science.) One reason is that Jungian psychology is hardly taught at all in North American university psychology departments today (I can't speak for elsewhere,) precisely because Jungian methods seem more impressionistic than experimental or clinical. Of the social sciences, psychology is probably closest in its approach to the natural and medical sciences, and most distant from the humanities. A perusal of the curriculum of any comprehensive university's psychology department will reveal just how different it is from modern psychological astrology.
I note that when Liz Greene was awarded her Ph. D. in 2010 by Bristol University, it was not in psychology, but in history.
Hermes, moreover, seems unaware of work on harmonics and midpoints in modern astrology, which more successfully explained Adolph Hitler's horoscope than either his radix chart or more conventional modern techniques of analysis. (See Harding and Harvey,
Working with Astrology.)
What Hermes has done, in attempting to dismantle the old science-pseudoscience binary, is to reinforce it, which I find really unproductive. If we can stop thinking of science as either who we are or who our opponent is, we might get somewhere more constructive.