Malaise in Astrology
Posted: Fri Jul 15, 2022 6:09 pm
Article in 'Sur l'agora' (2017) by Normand Baillargeon, philosopher, essayist and columnist.
Partially translated and Note: added
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Malaise in Astrology (Original 'Malaise en Psycho')
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Brian Nosek, professor and researcher in the Department of Psychology at the U of Virginia, in U.S. convinced 270 of his colleagues from nearly 30 countries to work with him on a project to reproduce the results of research in psychology.
It was an attempt to review 100 studies recently published in 3 reputable journals dealing with general, social and cognitive psychology.
The project was launched in November 2011. Results began to appear in 2015 and were published in August 2015 in the journal Science.
While 97% of published research originally reported statistically significant results, this was only the case for 36% of it when it was reproduced.
Note: I am thinking of the astrology cookbooks where they tell us that a planet in a sign gives this behavior but in practice you constantly see that the person does not correspond to this.
Let's take 2 examples
**A research had suggested that we would be more inclined to share our opinions with a group of people who have the same feelings. Brian Nosek wanted to verify this assertion.
**Another research: Women, more than men, when interacting with someone of the opposite sex, have the ability to distinguish between cues that indicate friendship and those that indicate sexual attraction.
Only one of these two studies has been successfully replicated. Which do you think? (Answer at the end of this article)
The numerous debates that followed, in scholarly journals and even in the mainstream medias, were all the more acrimonious in that psychology, in recent years, has experienced setbacks of this kind (Note: astrology as well!), in particular due to the impossibility of reproducing certain results which are nevertheless accepted by the profession, or even presented in textbooks.
The case of a Yale University researcher, John A. Bargh, caused a stir when they could not reproduce his result published in a famous article, quoted nearly 2,000 times, which maintained that using relative words to old age encouraged subjects to walk more slowly when leaving the laboratory.
This discrepancy may also be due to faulty statistical analysis or sampling. Or again, depending on the evaluation method used.
Daniele Fanelli, a researcher at Stanford University in California, suggests that research in cancer biology is not faring much better than that in psychology, is she right? And what about research in economics or pharmacology. Note the organizational and financial context in which scientific research activities typically take place. An observation, imperfect no doubt, but with means to improve, if only we want to.
Oh! I almost forgot: it's the research on reading the signals (of friendship or sexual) by women more than men that has been successfully reproduced!
Partially translated and Note: added
-----------------------------------------
Malaise in Astrology (Original 'Malaise en Psycho')
---------------------------
Brian Nosek, professor and researcher in the Department of Psychology at the U of Virginia, in U.S. convinced 270 of his colleagues from nearly 30 countries to work with him on a project to reproduce the results of research in psychology.
It was an attempt to review 100 studies recently published in 3 reputable journals dealing with general, social and cognitive psychology.
The project was launched in November 2011. Results began to appear in 2015 and were published in August 2015 in the journal Science.
While 97% of published research originally reported statistically significant results, this was only the case for 36% of it when it was reproduced.
Note: I am thinking of the astrology cookbooks where they tell us that a planet in a sign gives this behavior but in practice you constantly see that the person does not correspond to this.
Let's take 2 examples
**A research had suggested that we would be more inclined to share our opinions with a group of people who have the same feelings. Brian Nosek wanted to verify this assertion.
**Another research: Women, more than men, when interacting with someone of the opposite sex, have the ability to distinguish between cues that indicate friendship and those that indicate sexual attraction.
Only one of these two studies has been successfully replicated. Which do you think? (Answer at the end of this article)
The numerous debates that followed, in scholarly journals and even in the mainstream medias, were all the more acrimonious in that psychology, in recent years, has experienced setbacks of this kind (Note: astrology as well!), in particular due to the impossibility of reproducing certain results which are nevertheless accepted by the profession, or even presented in textbooks.
The case of a Yale University researcher, John A. Bargh, caused a stir when they could not reproduce his result published in a famous article, quoted nearly 2,000 times, which maintained that using relative words to old age encouraged subjects to walk more slowly when leaving the laboratory.
This discrepancy may also be due to faulty statistical analysis or sampling. Or again, depending on the evaluation method used.
Daniele Fanelli, a researcher at Stanford University in California, suggests that research in cancer biology is not faring much better than that in psychology, is she right? And what about research in economics or pharmacology. Note the organizational and financial context in which scientific research activities typically take place. An observation, imperfect no doubt, but with means to improve, if only we want to.
Oh! I almost forgot: it's the research on reading the signals (of friendship or sexual) by women more than men that has been successfully reproduced!